A crucial milestone in the future of our involvement in Iraq was reached today as the Iraqi cabinet approved the latest text of the Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) with the US government. Dealing with the incredibly sensitive issue of the presence of US military forces in Iraq, the agreement will take the place of the UN resolution that currently authorizes our troop presence, which was scheduled to expire December 31. Now the agreement must be ratified by the national parliament. This issue is a real test for Iraqi democracy and will determine whether they can contain a contentious debate within the bounds of peaceful political discourse; any dispute over this document is more about domestic Iraqi politics than the number of US troops on Iraqi soil. The article below from TIME gives a quick summary of some of the Iraqi politics involved.
From TIME.com
Sunday, Nov. 16, 2008
A Step Toward Keeping U.S. Troops in Iraq
By Rania Abouzeid / Baghdad
After months of thorny back-and-forth negotiations, several revisions, and much hand wringing, the Iraqi Cabinet on Sunday finally approved the contentious Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA), which provides a legal basis for U.S military operations to continue in Iraq after Dec. 31, which is the end of the mandate issued by the United Nations. But it's too early to pop the champagne. The bilateral U.S-Iraqi security pact is by no means a done deal: it must still be ratified by a fractured parliament. The Cabinet vote had only one nay to 27 ayes but nine cabinet members chose to absent themselves from the final tally, a foreboding sign of the controversy the agreement will face in the legislature.
The Sunnis have emerged as the main sticking point. Of the six present in the 37-member Cabinet, three stayed away from Sunday's vote, two grudgingly gave their conditional approval, and one, the minister for women's affairs, Dr. Nawal al-Samarrei, voted against the measure because it did not agree to put the pact to a referendum, a key demand of the Tawafuk Front. The front is the largest Sunni parliamentary bloc with 44 of the legislature's 275 seats. "If Tawafuk says no, that means the Sunnis say no," said party spokesman Omar Almashhadani. "We prefer that the U.N. mandate be extended or the Iraqi government agree to a referendum."
It's unlikely that either Washington or Baghdad will agree to any further delays on the agreement. Not only is the Dec. 31 end of the U.N. mandate nearing but the Parliament is slated to go into recess from Nov. 24 till mid-December. Few lawmakers expect a decision on SOFA before the interlude and some don't expect agreement before next year.
The U.S has already made significant concessions on the wording of the final draft, which sets firm deadlines for a U.S military withdrawal. According to the current draft, American troops will pull out of Iraqi cities by the end of next June and will fully withdraw from the country by the end of 2011, Iraqi government spokesman Ali al-Dabbagh said at a press conference. The dates "are final," he said, and "not subject to conditions on the ground." Washington has also yielded on the sensitive issue of immunity for U.S troops. "There will be no immunity for anybody breaking the law," al-Dabbagh said.
But it's still not enough for some Iraqi leaders, like the firebrand Shi'ite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr. On Friday, he threatened to resume attacks against U.S troops if they don't withdraw "without retaining bases or signing agreements." By rejecting the pact, Sadr, like some other opponents of the deal, is also hoping to burnish his nationalist credentials ahead of crucial provincial polls in January.
Whether Sadr's bloc of 28 lawmakers, coupled with Tawafuk's 44, vote for the agreement or not, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki has the numbers to push it through. But his governing Shi'ite coalition and its Kurdish partners have made it clear that they don't want to do that without the approval of all of the country's main groups — Sunnis, Shi'ites and Kurds. "We are not prepared to approve this, the Shi'ites and Kurds alone," said lawmaker Redha Taki, a member of the Shi'ite Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council. "By democratic means, we are able to, but it's not good. We want consensus. We need consensus."
Maliki will address the nation on Monday in a bid to garner public support for the agreement. Washington can only sit back and watch as Iraq's exercise in democracy determines the fate of U.S troops in the country.
